Another underwhelming primetime game is taking place tonight between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Cincinnati Bengals. There is one bet that I have locked in today, where I may have thrown up a little in my mouth placing, but I have a good feeling that it will hit!
The Game:
Bengals at Jaguars (-10)
over/under: 40
MNF TREND:
This year in the NFL, unders are hitting at 59%. Primetime unders are hitting at an even higher rate at 76%, and the craziest stat of them all is that MNF unders are hitting at 93% this year....
MNF unders have hit in 11 straight games as well. It may be the craziest trend the NFL has ever seen. It is almost an automatic bet... So why is this post titled "Puke in the Mouth Bet of the Day"?
Oh just you wait. Get a trash can nearby.
THE BET:
Cincy is going to have a rough end to the season with Joe Burrow out. They now resort to Jake Browning as their QB for the remainder of the season, and he has had a tough go at it two games in.
The Jaguars can take sole control of the AFC with a win tonight, and they have won 7/L8 games.
So now we have a trend that is hitting at 93%, a backup QB, a team that wants to dominate tonight to gain control of the AFC... Everything is pointing to the under, which is why I must take the over!
Over 40 total points.
Reason:
Even though Browning is a backup, he still has one of the best receiving cores in the league. He also had a 73% completion rate last week against the Steelers and had 227 passing yards.
The Jaguars defense is nothing special and have allowed 20+ points in 7/11 games.
And my favorite reason for this bet, SCREW THE PUBLIC, SCREW THE TREND, GIVE ME THE PUKE WORTHY OVER!
Godspeed!
Comments