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UFC 311-DFS Plays and Fades

Writer's picture: Ben BentleyBen Bentley

TheGMReports Sports Betting Picks
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Being a premium member pays for itself! Real quick scoring overview: Fighters get .2 points for strikes and sig strikes, +0.03 pts/second of control time, 5 pts for TDs, 5 pts for reversals, and 10 pts for knockdowns. The earlier a fight ends; the more bonus points you receive. With this scoring, hesitant strikers that back up will single handedly sink your roster. I'm looking for wrestlers and guys with knockout power. If you would like access to the entire article, consider joining one of our premium member plans!


Every Lineup Fighter: Islam Makhachev, $9,400, (-1200)

I picked against Islam when he was fighting Arman. Moicano has been on an impressive run, but he just isn't on the same level as Islam, Arman, Olivera, and some other lightweights. Moicano is only getting a title shot because he was fighting on this card and is a big enough name to step in. Moicano is good enough to be ranked but I don't see him making it to a decision let alone winning. Islam is a value even at this high price tag. Draft him with your first pick with confidence.


Value Fighter: Serghei Spivac, $6,700, (+370)

This is a great fight between the 6th and 7th ranked heavyweights. In the heavyweight division it can take just one punch to end a night and with those two so balanced, I'm shocked Spivac is priced as the third lowest priced fighter on the card. You're going to have to take an underdog, so I'm happy to throw up a hail marry and reap the value elsewhere.


Fade Fighter: Bogdan Guskov, $9,100, (-395)

He'll likely keep proving me wrong, but I fail to see how Guskov keeps winning. He just isn't good and looks like he's going to lose at one point in every fight and manages to pull something out to get the win. I'm not going to even consider him at this price tag. Guskov is a mid $8,000 priced fighter and that is if he has a plus match up. He's fighting a generally unknown fighter which could prove to be dangerous for the bald bruiser.



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