Silva made it to decision but wasn't able to get across the finish line, losing 30-27 on all the judges' scorecards. I started a spreadsheet to try to track trends and I'll share my findings as I gather more data. We have gathered data across 22 fights, and we might be starting to find a trend. We have three distinct spikes in our data and those spikes belong to Pinheiro, Fernandez, and Horth. All three fighters covered in their fights with two losing decisions and one winning outright by finish. Their spreads were +165, +185, and +120 respectively. We are seeing a slight peak this week with Brasil but her odds of the fight going to decision are trending negatively. She likely won't reach the same peak as the other three women, but it does make her an interesting pick for this weekend.
UFC 312 Event 10 of +3.5
Bruna Brasil +3.5 (+125) <- Bet Brasil NOW on DraftKings!
Weili Zhang +5.5 (-165)
Units: (+3.2)
Over the next few months, I'll be tracking what happens if you blindly bet every +3.5/+5.5 in the women's divisions. I'll list them before every card and give updates to see if it is a winning strategy. Join me along the journey each week, only available here on bettorgreen.com.
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