top of page

Unfiltered Betting: Women’s +3.5 Week 17 Recap and Outlook


jon jones
Brandon Magnus/Getty Images

We had a surprise 1-0 performance last week as Polastri didn't get the win, but she covered the spread for us. This week is an interesting one for us in particular. First off, as of the time of this article, Nunes does not have a spread line set. Demopoulos is nowhere near close enough for us to use her as an option for our method, but Belbita is. However, Belbita is only the 2nd fighter using our method that has data points that are both in the positives. Now that alone would not disqualify her from our method, but she is also the biggest dog we have had since we began tracking nearly 6 months ago and she is not a 3.5 spread but a 7.5 spread. She will still be included in the method, but these factors make me believe she will not cover. Vegas believes this fight is ending early and this is only the 2nd fight that Vegas has listed the O 2.5 at plus odds since we began this study. Belbita likely gets finished in my opinion, but she has as good a chance as any to cover with a high point spread.

UFC Women's Fighting Spread Graph
Women's +3.5 Betting Data Table

UFC Fight Night Event 17 of +3.5

Vanessa Demopoulos +3.5 (-265) <- Bet Demopoulos NOW on DraftKings!

Istela Nunes +3.5 (N/A)

Diana Belbiţă +7.5 (+145)


Blind Units: (0.5) (20-14)

Method Units: (+3.76) (7-1)


Over the next few months, I'll be tracking what happens if you blindly bet every spread in the women's divisions. I'll list them before every card and give updates to see if it is a winning strategy. Join me along the journey each week, only available here on bettorgreen.com.


Set your DFS lineup on my favorite site, Draft Kings!

They have the best user interface on the market and great tournaments to participate in!

Use our link below to get $150 in free bets by just winning a $5 bet!

draft kings promo

Comments


bottom of page