CFP:

ORE -21 -111 (1u)

JMU is in a spot to get absolutely blown out of the water in this game. They are completely outmatched here against an Oregon Ducks team who are live to win the National Championship. As long as the CFP lets these group of 5 schools into the playoffs, we will be there to fade them against superior opponents. Oregon makes their living beating up on teams like this. They beat Montana State by 46, OK State by 66, Oregon State by 34, Rutgers by 46, and Minnesota by 29 - many of which would be favored over this James Madison squad. Luckily for us, the public will have interest in backing JMU in this game which allows this line to stay competitive. Grab the Ducks at 3 TD's or less and sit back and watch them roll over the Dukes of James Madison in what I expect to be a 56-13 type of game. Play Oregon.

NFL : BUF ML -115 (1u... for now)

I love the Buffalo Bills on Sunday and this is shaping up to be one of my favorite bets of the NFL season. This is a great play on spot for the Bills and an even better fade spot on the Patriots. This is a very similar set up to when I had a massive 5u play on the 49ers over the Eagles back in week 14 of the 2023 season where the Niners prevailed 42-19. The Patriots are the darlings of the NFL right now but what the public doesn't fully realize is that they have played the easiest strength of schedule in the league. They are off a 10 game winning streak and a bye - BAD SPOT. I do not want anything to do with the Patriots off of that type of streak and now coming off a late bye. This team needs one more win to lock up a playoff spot and with 4 games remaining, there is not a huge need here for New England. This is much more of a focused spot for the Bills who are playing good football right now and who are off a hard fought win against the Bengals. They lost to this Patriots team at home back in early October and I really like that this game is in Foxborough. The Bills will be focused after losing to this team at home and coming off a bye, I expect a flat spot for the Patriots. Buffalo is the better team and it is going to show on Sunday. Give me Buffalo 30-20.

NFL : GB ML -115 (1u)

This line has come down far enough to where we can comfortably play the Packers to just win on Sunday in Denver and I think there is some value now on the Packers. This is as much of a fade on the Broncos as it is a play on the Packers. While this isn't necessarily the best spot for the Packers off 3 straight divisional wins and having the Bears on deck on SNF, however, the spot for Denver is worse. The Broncos have now won 10 games in a row and sit comfortably atop the AFC West. They come back home after back to back road wins and face an out of conference team in the Packers. This is a nothing game for the Broncos as they have all but wrapped up their division. And look who they have on deck, AFC South leading Jacksonville followed by the Chiefs and Chargers to wrap up their season. With 3 tough AFC opponents on deck, I expect them to look ahead a little bit in this spot. Lastly, Green Bay is simply the better team here. They have the better offense, a comparable defense, and I believe they are a better coached team. It is very telling that an 11-2 team on a 10 game win streak is a home underdog, but they're a dog for a reason. Play the Packers on the moneyline in what I expect to be a 23-20 type of game.