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NRFI Picks for 4/7/26
I want to try to hop on once in a while and let you know what NRFI's I'm targeting thanks to our NRFI tool on our home page. Today I'm looking at CHI/TB, DET/MIN, SEA/TEX.
Virna Jandiroba ML
I put a full unit on Jandiroba when she was -120 and she has moved to -130 since then. I would bet this ASAP as it is likely to keep moving. I see her as more of a -200 favorite. If you don’t get a good number you can still sprinkle some on Jandiroba Decision at +140 or go double method for safety Sub/Dec at just -120
Adesanya vs Pyfer Fight Night Dogs
Pyfer +124 - Grasso +154 - Erosa +270 - Belgaroui +110, I'm avoiding dogs on the prelims this week
Avalanche 60 Min ML
You get a -110 line and with the Jets up and down season, I like this number and will take a shot on the better team to get it done in regulation
PIT ML +100
Play on PIT and fade of NYM. For a full breakdown check out my Daily Dingers video on youtube - 2 more + money winners in the episode as well. Happy Opening Day!
DET ML -130
Good spot for the Wings tonight and the Sens were one of just two teams to play yesterday. They picked up the win and now are on the second of a back to back. Wings on the outside looking in at the playoffs for the first time in a long time and I think they give a massive effort tonight. A play on vs a play against. Lay it with Detroit.
Thoughts on our March Matness Wrestling Bracket Game?
All things said and done, I felt it worked very well and that it was fun! I would love input from others for how we could make it even better for next year. I noticed that it would be nice to add a feature that shows correct picks as green and incorrect as red. This would help keep track of things easier when looking back at brackets throughout the tournament. I'm still not in love with the visual layout of the brackets but I'm not sure exactly which way I want to go to fix that yet. I would also love to hear who made their brackets on their phones vs desktops and how that process was. Any issues or smooth sailing?
Thoughts on opening weekend of March Madness?
What did you guys think about the opening weekend of the tournament? For me, I thought it lost a lot of its aura. Gone are the days of the deep run cinderella teams, especially those from mid majors. I found a lot of games to be downright boring and the chalk just cleaned up basically all weekend long. That being said, it is still the greatest sporting event each and every year and I still feel that way, just not quite as strongly as I once did. Though the first weekend wasn't as great, we are likely in for 2 fantastic weekends to close out the college hoops season. What did you guys think?
Manchester City to Lift the Trophy +120 (England; Carabao Cup Final)
To be honest, a large part of this pick is emotional, as Arsenal are the opposition and the largest rivals of my club, Tottenham Hotspur. While Arsenal are the better team, Manchester City’s coach has a strong record in finals. Both clubs are set to use their backup keepers in this match, so it could be interesting! And as City’s best hopes of winning a trophy this season, I’m backing them to get over the line today.
Why upgrade to Premium?
We sniffed out that Bellato +550 KO/TKO last night! LETS GO!!
UFC 326 Live Dogs
Rob Font +220, Drew Dober -102, Brunno Ferreira +136, Cody Garbrandt +136, Ricky Turcios +150, Cody Durden +136
Who are some of your favorite combine stand outs?
BOS -2 -110
Not the best spot for the Celtics here but it's the only way to play this game in my opinion. No Brown for Boston and Giannis returning for the Bucks has gotten this line out of whack and the public will be quick to jump on Milwaukee. Why not? Their star is in and the other team's star is out. Not as easy as it sounds. The value lies with the Celtics. This is a very profitable way to win the NBA long term. Boston or pass.
CBB Short List:
UCONN -5.5 DAV +3.5 MSST +14.5 ZAGA -26.5 USD +7.5 SDSU ML SMC -5.5
Today's UFC Dogs
Here's a list of the dogs I think have the best chance to win on today's card. Spivac -102, Reese +136, Njokuani +120, Rowe +180
Have you guys been watching the Olympics?
For those of you who have been keeping up with the Olympics, what are some of the events that you have enjoyed watching the most? I have enjoyed this year way more than I have since 2014.
CBB Shortlist:
OKST +1.5 (Flipped from -1.5 - gives me pause and likely keeps me off) NOVA -3.5 (Sharp money on Creighton gives me pause) XAV -1.5 / ML -125 or better NCST -5.5 (Best bet) CSU -4.5 WICH -1.5 / ML -125 or better NEV +8.5 SCU +4.5 (Zags will take public money as the day goes on - wait to fire) Whether you tail, fade, or pass... good luck today!
MSU ML -135
I like the Spartans to get it done at the Kohl Center in a big matchup tonight. My first look in this game was the Wisconsin side but once I dug in, there wasn't much there to get me on the Badgers. Both teams are off OT wins over Illinois, oddly enough, however, Wisconsin's game was on Tuesday while MSU hasn't played since Saturday. Not only did Wisconsin go to OT with Illinois but they're on back to back OT games as they lost to IU in OT on Saturday. This is the first time the Badgers and Spartans will meet this season which means the last time they met was when Wisconsin knocked MSU out of the conference tournament. A bit of revenge here for the Spartans. MSU has been shaky as of late, pulling one out against Rutgers in OT before losing to Michigan and Minnesota before the OT win vs Illinois. If you remember back to last year, they had a similar situation where they dropped both games out West before splitting their next two at home. What'd they do after that? They won out against many of the Big 10's best (ILL, WISC, PUR, MICH x2) en route to a BIG Championship. I don't know if history will repeat itself here but it is eerily similar. The closer we get to March, the less I want to step in front of Tom Izzo and the Spartans. MSU or pass for me tonight.
CBB Short List:
Been betting a lot of losers and leaving winners on the cutting room table over the last week or so in college hoops. Going to drop my short list for the day and let people tail or fade at their own discretion. MARY +10.5 VT +8.5 UGA +9.5 PROV +4.5 USF -1.5 / ML -125 or better. COL +14.5 SEA +13.5 PAC -5.5 Good luck!
Olympic Hockey Future
With Russia not included in the Olympics this year, this is a 3-horse race. Looking at the rosters; Canada, Sweden, and the United States are the best teams by far. While my pick is admittedly chalky, I seriously implore you to look at these rosters. I like the Finals to be between the United States and Canada at +115. My concern with Sweden is that while they have great goaltending, they are clearly a step or two behind offensively. I've already locked it in and suggest you do the same! Let me know if you do end up tailing!
USA Moneyline -175 (Olympics; Curling Mixed Doubles) 🥌🥌
A win over Sweden will qualify the USA for the playoffs! 🥌🇺🇸
UFC Ladder 2nd Rung
We're putting our winnings from the first rung on an alternate line. It is over 3.5 rounds on the Bautista vs Oliveira fight. Both are primarily point strikers not know for finishes and I expect plenty of holding against the wall for Bautista.
Leeds United v Nottingham Forest Under 2.5 Goals (England; Premier League)
Match kicks off at 3:00 p.m. EST, about 15 minutes from now.
Juventus to Qualify -130 (Italy; Coppa Italia)
Match kicks off at 3:00 pm EST. I’ve been impressed with Juve’s form this season and think they are superior to the Atalanta team this season, especially after Atalanta just lost Ademola Lookman. I’ll also be playing Juventus Moneyline +130 in addition to a bet on them to qualify.
2nd Ladder Leg
Looking at playing either BUF ML or Islanders ML. I like both plays quite a bit tonight. I also like Vegas but that one scares me a bit. Which side between BUF and NYI do you like more?
C. Briscoe -165 over J. Logano The Clash at Bowman Gray
Juice worth laying. Very hard to pass on this 1/4 mile race track. Briscoe starts 4th and Logano 14th - a lot of cars separate these two. Briscoe, a driver for Toyota, is surrounded by other Toyota drivers and teammates as 3-7 are all driving for the manufacturer. Logano, on the other hand, a Ford driver, only has teammate Chris Buescher in front of him sitting 8th. As long as Briscoe runs clean, he should finish ahead of Logano here.
Manchester City Moneyline -115 (England; Carabao Cup Final)
City have a 2 goal advantage from the first leg, so they could just sit back and draw this match. However, with the 2-2 draw against Tottenham at the weekend, they’ll feel motivated to get some positive momentum back and win this match to confirm their place in the final.
Starting a ladder
Any tips on best way to start and manage a ladder? And anybody want in on it? This could be either a thing I just do myself or a community thing if others are interested
XAV +17.5 -110
Too many points. Uconn just lambasted Creighton on Saturday in Omaha, one of the toughest road venues in the Big East and a place where they've struggled historically. They now head back home feeling good and are ready to sleepwalk through the Musketeers who they already beat in Cincy this year by 23 points. On deck for Uconn are the newly ranked Red Storm of St. Johns, the most competitive team other than Uconn in the conference over the last few seasons. Not only that but they get them as the featured Friday night game. We saw Michigan and MSU featured on Friday last week and they both struggled in their Tuesday night matchups before that game. Bad spot for the Huskies and they're laying too many points. Xavier or pass in this one.
Olympic Break Upcoming
With the Olympic break coming up, are you guys betting more or less prior to the break? I can see guys wanting a strong push before the break but can also see them distracted as they are about to have new teammates and goals here shortly.
WSH +12.5 -115
This very likely turns into a premium selection but you're getting it here for free. Tough spot for Illinois as they're off a massive win over 4th ranked Purdue on the road at Mackey over the weekend and they head west for a road matchup with 1-loss Nebraska on deck. Classic sandwich spot. Don't love Washington traveling East but they've done so 3 times this year, @ IU, @ PUR, @ NEB - very tough opponents - and covered this number in all 3.
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