NFL Week 17 - DFS Values & Plays
DFS
NFL

NFL Week 17 - DFS Values & Plays

December 24, 2025
Unlock winning strategies for NFL Week 17 DFS with expert insights! Discover how player ownership percentages can elevate your lineup, and don't miss these standout picks!

 Take advantage of the percentage a player is owned! The higher a player's exposure, the better you have to be at choosing other positions. Try to mix in different exposures to create your own unique lineup. Previous millionaire winners have a total ownership percentage of 100.56% each week, and the range between 75%-125% is recommended to increase your chances of winning.


QB: Baker Mayfield, $5,600

Baker isn’t flashy, but he just keeps getting it done. Tampa has fully leaned into letting him throw, and the volume has been there almost every week. Over the last few games he’s consistently flirting with the 250-yard mark and multiple touchdowns, which is exactly what you want at his price point. This week he draws Miami, a defense that can be beaten through the air and doesn’t generate nearly enough pressure to scare you off. With the Bucs still willing to push the pace, Baker feels like one of those “boring but profitable” DFS QBs who won’t kill you and absolutely has 3-TD upside if the game stays competitive.


RB: Tony Pollard, $5,500

Pollard has quietly settled into a true workhorse role in Tennessee. The efficiency hasn’t always been pretty, but the volume is real — and volume is king in DFS. He’s coming off another strong usage week and continues to dominate early-down work along with most of the goal-line looks. He gets New Orleans in Week 17, a defense that’s solid but not scary against the run, especially if they control game script. Pollard isn’t the sexiest click on the slate, but at lower ownership he’s the kind of RB who can grind out 20+ touches and fall into the end zone, which is exactly what you want in tournaments.


WR: Jakobi Meyers, $5,300

Meyers has slid into this Jacksonville offense seamlessly and looks like a quarterback’s best friend. He’s been seeing steady targets week after week and has already shown he can pop for a big play or a touchdown when defenses focus elsewhere. This week he gets Indianapolis, a team that’s much tougher against the run than the pass — which sets up perfectly for Jacksonville to air it out. Meyers doesn’t need 12 targets to pay off either; 7–9 looks with red-zone involvement makes him a really comfortable WR value with legitimate upside if the game turns into a shootout.


TE: Theo Johnson, $3,400

Theo Johnson is the definition of a “don’t overthink it” tight end. He’s been on the field a ton, he’s part of the game plan, and he’s been quietly producing all season. The Giants don’t have many reliable pass-catchers, which keeps Johnson involved even when the offense stalls. He gets Las Vegas this week, a matchup that doesn’t jump off the page but also doesn’t scare you at all. At a position where most people are just guessing, Johnson gives you a stable floor with touchdown upside — and that’s often enough to win you a slate when the chalk tight ends disappoint.

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Ben Bentley

Ben is a DFS and sports betting analyst who has been creating sports content since 2022. He has been a guest speaker at the Fantasy Football Expo located in Canton, Ohio and is known for his one-of-a-kind breakout and bust grading system that helps fantasy managers spot sleepers and avoid traps before the market catches on.

BettorGreen Creator since 2022

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