NFL Week 18 - DFS Values & Plays
Take advantage of the percentage a player is owned! The higher a player's exposure, the better you have to be at choosing other positions. Try to mix in different exposures to create your own unique lineup. Previous millionaire winners have a total ownership percentage of 100.56% each week, and the range between 75%-125% is recommended to increase your chances of winning.
QB: Jaxson Dart, $5,700
This rookie QB has been a roller coaster — the Giants’ had a spark in Week 17 when he put up 207 yards and two rushing touchdowns in a rare win. But Dart’s overall production has dipped since the midseason coaching change, and that’s created value in Week 18 DFS pricing. The Giants are already out of contention and playing for pride at this point, which means Dart’s rushing upside becomes a sneaky source of fantasy points. You’re not paying big-time dollars for him — you’re paying for volume and opportunities, not name value.
RB: Dylan Sampson, $5,200
The Browns’ rookie back hasn’t lit the league on fire with 375 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns so far — but that’s in a muddled backfield where he’s had to earn every touch and played behind rookie star Quinshon Judkins. With Sampson set to lead the backfield in Cleveland, he has a chance to surprise folks who are clicking past him because the Browns “don’t matter.” His explosive run rate and missed-tackle metrics (both solid for a young back) hint that when he does get opportunities, he can make them count.
WR: Jakobi Meyers, $5,300
If you’re scouring the receiver pool for cheap or mid-tier upside, Jakobi Meyers is a no-brainer pivot off the chalky names. After being shuffled around and traded to Jacksonville this year — where he has posted 27 catches for 355 yards and 3 TDs in a short span — Meyers has quietly carved out a steady role even on a so-so offense. His expected fantasy point totals this season show he’s fairly consistent week-to-week, even if he isn’t a superstar. A win locks up the division for the Jags, and against the Titans, Meyers and the Jags should be able to take care of business.
TE: Juwan Johnson, $4,200
Juwan Johnson has turned in the best seasons of his career for a Saints team that’s been streaky and ultimately disappointing overall. He’s piled up over 70 receptions and more than 800 yards on the year and just capped a late surge by posting 95 receiving yards in Week 17. Tight ends with large target shares — especially late in seasons where game scripts get sloppy — can become massive differentiators in DFS. The Saints aren’t fighting for anything meaningful this week and neither is Atlanta, which means more middle-field check downs and red-zone chances for Johnson with Shough solidifying his starter status.
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Ben is a DFS and sports betting analyst who has been creating sports content since 2022. He has been a guest speaker at the Fantasy Football Expo located in Canton, Ohio and is known for his one-of-a-kind breakout and bust grading system that helps fantasy managers spot sleepers and avoid traps before the market catches on.
BettorGreen Creator since 2022


