Take advantage of the percentage a player is owned! The higher a player's exposure, the better you have to be at choosing other positions. Try to mix in different exposures to create your own unique lineup. Previous millionaire winners have a total ownership percentage of 100.56% each week, and the range between 75%-125% is recommended to increase your chances of winning.
QB: Caleb Williams, $6,100
Caleb Williams checks every box as a DFS value this week. He draws the 15th-ranked pass defense in the league and has been playing his best football of the season, showing both efficiency and ceiling in recent games. The biggest edge here is game environment. If you’re rostering a quarterback from this matchup, you can make a strong case for either side — Matthew Stafford or Williams — but the salary relief with Williams is simply too good to ignore. When you compare this spot to the rest of the slate, the choice becomes even clearer. Josh Allen faces a tough Denver defense, Drake Maye gets a disciplined Houston unit, Brock Purdy draws a Seattle defense that limits explosive plays, and C.J. Stroud against New England is a matchup I want no part of in DFS. Williams has multiple weapons at his disposal, and this game has real shootout potential. Take the value with Williams, free up salary, and spend up elsewhere where it actually matters.
RB: RJ Harvey, $6,200
RJ Harvey is my favorite running back play on the slate, even at the higher price point. I told you guys to get in on Travis Etienne last week and he absolutely paid off — I had multiple single bets on Etienne as well as Tuten, and the confidence came from attacking Buffalo’s porous run defense. Now we get that same setup again, and Harvey is the one positioned to dominate. Since his Week 12 bye, Harvey has been on an absolute heater, finishing as an RB1 in four of his last six games and consistently handling high-leverage touches. He’s one of the best running backs left in the playoffs and pairing that talent with the best matchup available is exactly how you win DFS. While he isn’t a salary “value” in the traditional sense, this is a spot where you eat the chalk and move on. Harvey is a must-play in my eyes — and don’t worry, I’ll make the value back with the next pick.
WR: Demarcus Robinson, $4,400
Demarcus Robinson is exactly the kind of DFS play that reminds you football isn’t always as random as it looks. I happened to catch D-Rob’s interview with Shannon Sharpe and Ochocinco this week, and as a Chiefs fan I had to stop and listen. What stood out was how much he talked about game planning with Shanahan in the week leading up to his big performance against the Eagles — that game didn’t just happen, it was built. That matters. With George Kittle out, San Francisco has no choice but to lean on Robinson even more. Brandon Aiyuk is done in San Fran, Pearsall has been battling injuries, and Jauan Jennings isn’t suddenly going to carry this passing attack by himself. Whether Pearsall suits up or not, Robinson is dirt cheap and firmly in the game plan. He’s the type of low-salary receiver you can comfortably plug into your WR2 or flex spot, with real upside that far outweighs the price.
TE: AJ Barner, $3,600
AJ Barner is my go-to punt option at tight end this week, and it’s a spot that makes a lot of sense when you break it down. He’s quietly become a nightmare for opposing defenses in the red zone, consistently finding ways to get open when space tightens. The 49ers are almost certainly going to key in on slowing down Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the passing game, and that defensive attention should open up lanes underneath and near the goal line for Barner. He comes in as one of the cheapest startable tight ends on the slate, which is exactly what you’re looking for if you’re punting the position. If you’re spending up elsewhere and need salary relief without completely sacrificing upside, Barner is your guy — and the absolute lowest I’m willing to go at TE.
