UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett - DFS Plays and Fades
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UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett - DFS Plays and Fades

January 23, 2026
Get insights for your UFC 324 DFS lineups with my Every Lineup Fighter, Value Fighter, and Fade Fighter of the card! Only premium members get access to the full article as well as the graphs and charts based on fighter data and price points.

Being a premium member pays for itself! Real quick scoring overview: Fighters get .2 points for strikes and sig strikes, +0.03 pts/second of control time, 5 pts for TDs, 5 pts for reversals, and 10 pts for knockdowns. The earlier a fight ends; the more bonus points you receive. With this scoring, hesitant strikers that back up will single handedly sink your roster. I'm looking for wrestlers and guys with knockout power. If you would like access to the entire article, consider joining one of our premium member plans!


Every Lineup Fighter: Ateba Gautier, $9,700, (-900)

This man has absolute lights-out power, with all three of his UFC fights ending in first-round knockouts—that’s slate-breaking upside you just can’t teach. His opponent Pulyaev has already lost to CLD since arriving in the UFC, and while CLD is a solid fighter, he doesn’t bring anywhere near the raw power that Gautier does. Yes, Gautier comes with a higher price tag, but the data backs it up: he consistently trends well over the target line, showing he’s still an exceptional value for what he brings to a DFS lineup. If you’re chasing ceiling and early-finish bonus points, this is the spot to plant your flag.


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Value Fighter: Rose Namajunas, $6,800, (+300)

Our value fighter this week is Rose Namajunas, and honestly… can someone explain how she’s sitting at +300? Don’t get me wrong—I like Silva, she’s legit—but this is the same Thug Rose who beat Zhang and Jędrzejczyk twice, and is coming off a recent win over Cortez. Seeing Rose at +300 and listed as one of the cheapest options on the card is borderline insane. I genuinely think Rose can win this fight outright. Silva does have strong decision wins over Andrade and Grasso, but when you zoom out, this line feels flat-out wrong. From a DFS perspective, this is exactly the kind of mispriced veteran upside you attack—low salary, real win equity, and massive leverage if she gets her hand raised.


Fade Fighter: Cameron Smotherman, $8,600, (-185)

Cameron Smotherman is our fade fighter, and his price is almost comically bad. He has the worst value on the entire card, scoring below 15 fighters who are cheaper than him, and in fact he’s the lowest-scoring fighter on average this week. Historically, Smotherman has returned roughly 40 cents for every dollar you’ve spent on him in DFS lineups, which is flat-out abysmal value. Based on his production, he profiles like a $4,070 fighter, yet he’s priced all the way up at $8,600. Add in a two-fight losing streak and a matchup against a scrappy Ricky Turcios who’s hunting a rebound of his own, and it’s hard to see this ending well. I’m not confident that skid doesn’t hit three. This is an easy pass.


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Ben Bentley

Ben is a DFS and sports betting analyst who has been creating sports content since 2022. He has been a guest speaker at the Fantasy Football Expo located in Canton, Ohio and is known for his one-of-a-kind breakout and bust grading system that helps fantasy managers spot sleepers and avoid traps before the market catches on.

BettorGreen Creator since 2022

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