Welcome to English Premier League Best Bets, a Bettor in Green Article Series where we break down the latest action in the English Premier League (EPL) and my favorite bets for the upcoming matchweek.

For an overview of what to expect in this Series, check out my 2025/26 EPL Season Preview and Futures article here.

Recap:

We only have 12 matchweeks left in this EPL season and it’s getting to be crunch time for many of the clubs.

The managerial merry-go-round keeps spinning, as we saw Tottenham fire Thomas Frank and Nottingham Forest fire Sean Dyche after matchweek 26 amidst poor form for both clubs.

Tottenham have appointed Igor Tudor (most recently Juventus manager in Italy) as the interim boss for the rest of the season, while Forest have appointed Vítor Pereira (most recently Wolves manager) as their permanent manager, their 4th permanent manager this season.

In other news, United failed to win their 5th match in a row, while Arsenal had to play 2 matches this week (making up for a future match that will clash with the Carabao Cup Final) and only managed a draw in each of them.

With the draws of Arsenal, the title race feels truly back on, with City only 5 points behind with a game-in-hand.

We had another rough week for Best Bets, hitting 1-2. We were close to winning Gyökeres anytime goalscorer, but Brentford right back Michael Kayode cleared the ball just in time as Gyökeres was stepping into the strike.

Across the Globe we hit 3-2, winning with Flamengo, Bayern Munich, and Athletico Paranaense.

Upcoming Matches:

Matchweek 27 kicks off on Saturday at 10:00 a.m. EST with 3 matches in that window. Later on Saturday, West Ham host Bournemouth and then Manchester City hosting Newcastle.

We have 4 matches on Sunday, with the North London Derby between Spurs and Arsenal as the marquee match of the weekend.

The weekend ends on Monday, with Everton hosting Manchester United.

Let’s get to the bets:

Best Bets:

Pick #1: Crysencio Summerville (West Ham) 2+ Shots -130 (Feb. 21, 2026; 12:30 p.m. EST):

For our first Bet, I’m taking a player prop, backing West Ham’s Crysencio Summerville to get 2+ shots.

I don’t particularly like shot on target bets, so I opt for simply shots when I look for this type of prop. I took this on TheScore Bet for -130, whereas it’s at -210 on DraftKings and -300 on FanDuel.

Summerville averages 1.92 shots per 90, though he’s really come into form as of late. I’m not a West Ham supporter by any means, but he’s certainly passed the “eye test” for me and has looked like one of, if not their strongest player on the field within the last month or two.

His only 4 EPL goals this season have come within his last 5 EPL matches. He has 6 goals and 1 assist in his last 7 matches in all competitions. 

Bournemouth, their opponents, are 16th for goals conceded per match, and 3rd for clearances per match. While their expected goals (xG) against is better than the actual amount they’ve conceded (indicating they have some bad luck), they’re still conceding plenty of goals and having to clear the ball out of their zone more than most of the League.

I’ll also dabble in Summerville Anytime Goalscorer +295, with that line coming from DraftKings.

Pick #2: Liverpool Moneyline -125 (Feb. 22, 2026; 9:00 a.m. EST):

For our next Best Bet, I’m looking at Liverpool on the road against Nottingham Forest.

I’ve been burned this season on occasion with the “new manager bump” as clubs will often perform better as soon as a new manager comes in. Whether a change in tactics or simply playing harder to impress the new boss, it is a phenomenon that does occur from time to time.

However, I don’t place a whole lot of faith in the new manager bump, though admittedly it has burned me once or twice this season.

Forest have just fired Sean Dyche and have hired new manager Vítor Pereira. To his credit, he oversaw a 0-3 win on the road against Fenerbahçe, who I think are a strong side, in the Europa league. I’m hoping this means they’ve already had the new manager bump before heading into the weekend.

They just played that match in Türkiye on Thursday, and now have to head home to host Liverpool. Sine Liverpool were in the top-8 for the Champions League, they didn’t have a match this week and can focus on preparing for this match.

Liverpool have been in good form recently, with 5 wins in their last 7 matches, with their 2 losses in that stretch coming from stoppage-time winners from the opposition. They’re only 2 points behind Chelsea in 5th and 3 points behind Manchester United in 4th, so a Champions League position is well within their reach.

The bottom line is Liverpool have been far superior to Forest this season and they got the opportunity to rest and prepare, whereas Forest just played a tough match in Türkiye on Thursday. The new manager bump could be a factor, but I’m backing the strength of Liverpool and the travel for Forest over the impact of the new boss.

Pick #3: Manchester United Moneyline -105 (Feb. 23, 2026; 3:00 p.m. EST):

For our final Best Bet, I’m backing Manchester United, who let us down in disappointing fashion last week, to rebound against Everton.

United have transformed under Michael Carrick, with players being played in their favored positions and in a system that fits the squad, most notably with Bruno Fernandes as a number 10, Kobie Mainoo in midfield, and Bryan Mbuemo through the middle of attack.

Everton only have 2 losses in their last 10 matches, though also only 3 wins, with a record of 3-5-2 in that stretch.

However, Everton have surprisingly struggled at home in the second half of the season. They started off life at their new stadium unbeaten in their first 5 competitive matches there, but now have not won a match at home in their last 6 home matches, their last win coming December 6, 2025. They’re 4-4-5 at home in the EPL this season.

Like the match against West Ham, I am a little concerned about United’s ability when playing a team that doesn’t like having possession. Everton are 17th for average possession (West Ham were 19th), though Everton have scored fewer goals than West Ham. They have also conceded far fewer, so it could take United some time to break them down.

Despite this, I think United had the pressure of winning 5 in a row in the last match and now can focus on getting back to winning ways and remaining in the top-4.

Across the Globe:

• Juventus Moneyline +105 (Italy; Serie A)
• Real Betis Moneyline -115 (Spain; La Liga)
• Toulouse Moneyline -115 (France; Ligue 1)
• Real Madrid Moneyline -150 (Spain; La Liga)
• Lyon to Win Either Half -105 (France; Ligue 1)

Season Record:

Best Bets: 37-41

Across the Globe: 64-67