Welcome to English Premier League Best Bets, a Bettor in Green Article Series where we break down the latest action in the English Premier League (EPL) and my favorite bets for the upcoming matchweek.

For an overview of what to expect in this Series, check out my 2025/26 EPL Season Preview and Futures article here.

Recap:

We’re closing in on the end of the season and still have plenty to play for in the title race, the race for European qualifying, and the relegation battle.

The title race is still pretty solidly in Arsenal’s favor with their 9-point advantage over Manchester City. With those two yet to play one another and with Manchester City having a game-in-hand, there’s still a possibility for a late twist.

The bigger battles are the race for Europe and the relegation battle. The middle of the table is extremely tight, with Liverpool and Chelsea in particular fighting for 5th, which is likely to be the final Champions League spot. With both losing last time out, the spot is still up for grabs.

The relegation battle is heating up, as Spurs lost to Nottingham Forest to drop to 17th, only 1 point outside of the relegation zone.

Speaking of Spurs, the loss to Forest was the final straw, with the club sacking interim manager, Igor Tudor, after only 7 matches in charge. Over the international break, they brought in one of their top summer managerial targets, former Brighton and Marseille boss, Roberto De Zerbi.

We went 1-2 for Best Bets, losing with Manchester United and Spurs, winning West Ham. While I think United were a bit hard-done not to have been given a penalty right before Bournemouth’s first goal, that’s football!

Across the Globe we hit 3-2, winning Hartford Athletic, Real Madrid, and Boca Juniors.

Upcoming Matches:

The weekend kicks off Friday with West Ham hosting Wolves, giving them the opportunity to jump out of the relegation zone and knock Spurs into it.

We have 4 matches on Saturday, starting with Arsenal hosting Bournemouth and ending with Liverpool hosting Fulham.

There are 4 matches on Sunday, with the big one being Chelsea hosting Manchester City.

The weekend ends on Monday, as Manchester United host Leeds United in the Roses Rivalry.

Let’s get to the bets:

Best Bets:

Pick #1: Arsenal vs Bournemouth 2nd Half Highest Scoring Half +105 (April 11, 2026; 7:30 a.m. EST):

For my first Best Bet, I’m taking a market I don’t take as often, the highest scoring half market.

However, there are a few reasons I like this bet.

First, Arsenal have had the 2nd half as the highest scoring half in 7 of their last 10 matches across all competitions.

While Bournemouth don’t have the same favorable statistics in their past 10 matches, I expect Arsenal to be the more dominant club, so I’m looking more to their history.

Arsenal are coming off of an away match in the Champions League to Sporting CP, where they managed a late winning goal.

Before that match, they had lost in the FA Cup to Southampton. They are now only focusing on securing the EPL title and trying to win the Champions League.

Arsenal have been the most defensively sound team in the league, conceding the fewest goals and keeping the most clean sheets. They’ve also scored the most goals of any team in the league.

However, they have a tendency this season to be defensively solid, then break teams down over 90 minutes, often relying on corner kicks or other set pieces to nab a winner.

And with the tired legs or rotation they’ll have to do to rest from the Champions League and prepare to go again on Wednesday, I think it will take some time to grow into the match this weekend.

Pick #2: Tottenham Hotspur to Win Either Half -120 (April 12, 2026; 9:00 a.m. EST):

Next, I’m taking a risky one by backing my club, Tottenham Hotspur to win either half.

There are two competing interests at play for this bet: Sunderland’s home, and the new manager bump Spurs may receive from appointing De Zerbi.

To be fair, Tottenham have been dreadful in 2026. They’ve fired interim manager, Igor Tudor, and have appointed Roberto De Zerbi. While I don’t always back the new manager bump, I am expecting a reaction here.

The reports from Spurs players seem quite positive after De Zerbi’s initial training session. While Spurs still lack some of the players to implement the style of play De Zerbi will want to play, they’re in a serious relegation battle and will need to do everything they can to pick up points at Sunderland.

Sunderland have only lost 3 times at home this season, with the Stadium of Light being a particularly difficult venue. However, Spurs had the best away form for the first half of the season and may be able to channel that form for this match in the most critical part of their season.

While Spurs have had a whole host of injuries this season, and had a setback regarding Mohammed Kudus, they should have the majority of their defense fit, along with Solanke, Tel, Kolo Muani, and Richarlison fit in attack.

Critically, both clubs should have their backup keepers in net, so this could be a tough match for each side.

Given how poor Spurs have been and Sunderland’s home form, I’m only backing them to win a half. With the boost and passion from De Zerbi, along with the looming threat of relegation, I at least expect significantly more fight from Spurs than we saw under Igor Tudor’s management.

Pick #3: Manchester City Moneyline +110 (March 12, 2026; 11:15 a.m. EST):

For our final Best Bet, I’m taking Manchester City on the moneyline against Chelsea.

Critically, both clubs are out of the Champions League and still alive in the FA Cup. They also both have incentive in the league, as City still have a chance of catching Arsenal, while Chelsea are fighting for a Champions League place.

That said, this should be an excellent match.

However, I think the quality of the players and the coach for City will get the edge here, despite being on the road.

Chelsea will be without Enzo Fernandez for this match, after suspending him for suggesting to the media he may leave the club.

Chelsea have struggled as of late under Liam Rosenior, with only 1 win in their last 5, a win in the FA Cup against 3rd-tier side Port Vale, losing the other 4, including an 8-2 aggregate loss to PSG in the Champions League. They only have 4 wins in their last 10, 3 of which came in the FA Cup.

Manchester City, on the other hand, have 6 wins in their last 10 matches. They recently won the Carabao Cup against Arsenal, then had a commanding 4-0 win over Liverpool, which saw Haaland back to his best with a hat trick.

With Haaland, Semenyo, O’Reilly, and Cherki in fine form, along with the superior coaching of Pep Guardiola, I expect City to have the edge over Chelsea in this one. A loss will almost certainly mean the end of the title race for City, so they’ll need to win and keep the pressure on Arsenal before they face one another the following week.

Across the Globe:

• Real Sociedad Moneyline -140 (Spain; La Liga)
• Elfsborg Moneyline +140 (Sweden; Allsvenskan)
• Bodø/Glimt Moneyline -110 (Norway; Eliteserien)
• Boca Juniors Moneyline +125 (Argentina; Liga Profesional)
• FC Dallas Moneyline +105 (USA; MLS)

Season Record:

Best Bets: 44-49

Across the Globe: 76-79